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COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · 1D · RANK-0 · 40% DEPTH

1-Deck 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 40% Penetration (4% Audit DEP003)

Removing 7 of 16 0-Value Tens & Faces (Rank-0) cards at 40% penetration of a 1-deck (52-card) shoe leaves 9 Rank-0 cards inside a 31-card stub (DEP003), producing 45.9608% Banker wins, 44.5235% Player wins, 9.5157% Ties, and a 0.4011% Banker house edge under 4%.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4011%
Player EV (1:1)
-1.4374%
Rank-0 in 31-Card Stub
9/16
Single-Hand Std Dev
0.9335
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (BBPPBPBPBBPPBPBPBB) illustrating derived-road symmetry checks alongside DEP003 (1D Rank-0 at 40% depth).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Stub Size (DEP003)
31 / 52 Cards

40% penetration depth in 1D (single-deck laboratory benchmarks and historical pitch audits).

Rank-0 Remaining
9 of 16 Cards

7 10, Jack, Queen, and King (zero-point cards) removed from the 1D pack.

Banker EV (4% Vig)
-0.4011%

Resolved at 45.9608% Banker win rate under 4% settlement.

Player EV (1:1)
-1.4374%

Resolved at 44.5235% Player win rate with 0.9335 unit standard deviation.

Tie Incidence (8:1)
9.5157%

Produces a 14.3589% house hold on the 8-to-1 Tie wager in state DEP003.

FINITE-SHOE ENUMERATION · DEP003

How 0-Value Tens & Faces Depletion at 40% Depth Impacts 1D (4% Vig)

When a 1D shoe reaches 40% cut-card depth (31 of 52 cards undealt, state DEP003) with 7 0-Value Tens & Faces cards removed and 9 remaining, Player wins 44.5235% (1.4374% edge) while Banker wins 45.9608% (0.4011% edge under 4%).

Under the fixed third-card tableau for DEP003, depleting zero-point cards reduces (dep003) modulo-10 standoffs and alters two-card (1d-40%) natural combinations paired with 8s (dep003·1d-40%) and 9s. With 9 Rank-0 cards inside 31 remaining 1D cards (40% dealt), single-card slope (+0.18 bps) keeps Banker house edge at 0.4011% and Player at 1.4374%.

State DEP003 (1D, 40% depth, 9/16 Rank-0 left, 4% Vig)
Wager / MetricState DEP003 Value1D BaselineSettlement Note
DEP003 Banker (4% Vig)45.9608% (-0.4011% EV)45.9595%DEP003 1D 40% (9 Rank-0)
DEP003 Player (1:1)44.5235% (-1.4374% EV)44.5249%DEP003 31-card 1D stub (0.9335 SD)
DEP003 Tie (8:1)9.5157% (-14.3589% EV)9.5156%DEP003 Rank-0 (7 out, 9 in)
TABLEAU & SCOREBOARD SEPARATION · DEP003

Third-Card Tableau Sensitivity vs Derived-Road Marks (DEP003 · 1D)

For DEP003 (31 remaining cards in a 52-card 1D shoe at 40% depth), tracking all 7 exited Rank-0 cards moves Banker win rate to 45.9608% (-0.4011% EV, 4% Vig) and Player to 44.5235% (-1.4374% EV).

  • DEP003 (1D 40%): 31/52 cards with 9/16 Rank-0 (6A).
  • DEP003 (Rank-0 split): 45.9608% Banker, 44.5235% Player, 9.5157% Tie in 31 1D cards (6B).
  • DEP003 (4% Vig EV): -0.4011% Banker, -1.4374% Player, -14.3589% Tie, 0.9335 SD at 40% (6C).
  • DEP003 (1D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road columns, never 9 Rank-0 stub count (6D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen 7 0-Value Tens & Faces cards leave a 1D shoe by 40% depth (DEP003), Big Eye Boy red or blue marks show whether Banker or Player will win next.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only compare Big Road column lengths and never track Rank-0 stub counts (9/16 in 31 cards); Banker carries a -0.4011% expectation under 4%.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android