Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math Hub
  3. Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1): Manila Bay 8D EV Audit
SIDE-BET AUDIT · MANILA BAY 8D · SBA263

Egalite Specific Tie Total 4-4 (120 to 1 Paytable) in Manila Entertainment City (8-Deck) (SBA263 EV & Volatility Audit)

In Manila Entertainment City (8-Deck) (8-deck, 416-card shoe), Egalite Specific Tie Total 4-4 (120 to 1 Paytable) pays 120 to 1 with a 0.7312% hit frequency, a 11.5550% house edge, and a 10.2910 per-hand standard deviation under PAGCOR Philippines standards (SBA263).

Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) EV
-11.5550%
Hit Rate (8D)
0.7312%
Std Dev (Units)
10.2910
Manila Bay 8D Cards
416
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠

Reference shoe scoreboard (PPBBPPPPBBBBPPBBPB) alongside SBA263 (Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) in Manila Bay 8D, 416 cards).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Paytable (SBA263)
120 to 1

Wins 120 to 1 strictly when both sides finish tied at a final score of 4-4.

Hit Frequency (Manila Bay 8D)
0.7312%

Evaluated across 416 cards (8 decks) in Manila Entertainment City (8-Deck).

House Edge (SBA263)
11.5550%

Compared against 1.0579% Banker (5% vig) and 1.2351% Player main bets.

Standard Deviation
10.2910 Units

Per-wager volatility under PAGCOR Philippines rules.

Floor Context
8-Deck (416 Cards)

Eight-deck integrated resort mass and VIP floors.

PAYTABLE & COMBINATORIAL PROOF · SBA263

Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) Paytable & Manila Bay 8D Combinatorial Math (SBA263)

In Manila Bay 8D (SBA263, 416-card shoe), Egalite Specific Tie Total 4-4 (120 to 1 Paytable) (120 to 1) carries a 11.5550% house edge (0.7312% hit rate, 10.2910 SD) because banker 4 stands when (sba263-8d) player draws 0, 1, 8, (manila bay 8d) or 9, expanding five-card 4-4 (sba263-8d·manila bay 8d) tie paths to 0.7312% of deals.

In SBA263 (Manila Bay 8D, 8 decks / 416 cards), wins 120 to 1 (sba263) strictly when both sides finish (manila bay 8d) tied at a final score (sba263·manila bay 8d) of 4-4 and banker 4 stands when (sba263-8d) player draws 0, 1, 8, (manila bay 8d) or 9, expanding five-card 4-4 (sba263-8d·manila bay 8d) tie paths to 0.7312% of deals, resulting in a 0.7312% hit probability, 11.5550% house edge, and 10.2910 SD.

Verification summary for SBA263: Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) in Manila Entertainment City (8-Deck) (416 cards)
Wager OptionPayout ScheduleHit Rate (8D)House Edge / EV
SBA263 Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1)120 to 10.7312%-11.5550% (10.2910 SD)
SBA263 Banker (Manila Bay 8D)0.95 to 145.8597%-1.0579% (416c)
SBA263 Player (Manila Bay 8D)1 to 144.6247%-1.2351% (8D)
SCOREBOARD & MULTI-BET DISCIPLINE · SBA263

Derived-Road Independence & Session Volatility in Manila Bay 8D (SBA263)

Players in Manila Bay 8D (SBA263, 8 decks / 416 cards) can separate scoreboard reading from side-bet math: derived roads summarize Big Road alignment, while Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) carries a fixed 0.7312% hit rate and -11.5550% expectation (10.2910 SD).

  • SBA263 (Manila Bay 8D): Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) (120 to 1) across 416 cards (3A).
  • SBA263 (Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) EV): 0.7312% hit rate, -11.5550% EV, 10.2910 SD in Manila Bay 8D (3B).
  • SBA263 (8D baseline): 1.0579% Banker & 1.2351% Player vs 11.5550% on Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) (3C).
  • SBA263 (Manila Bay 8D roads): red/blue marks log Big Road symmetry, never Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) (0.7312%) timing (3D).
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythA cluster of red or blue marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road in Manila Bay 8D signals that Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) (120 to 1) is about to hit.
TruthDerived-road red and blue marks only record whether Big Road columns repeat or break depth; in SBA263 (416 cards), Egalite 4-4 Tie (120:1) carries a fixed 0.7312% hit rate and 11.5550% house edge.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android