Benchmark S433-0 models the stochastic drawdown-slope between Rev Fibonacci and Contra D'Alembert over 216 hands of Player 1:1 Streak: with 140 units, a 90-unit cap, and 1.2351% house edge, ruin settles at 18.91% vs 12.18% while capital-bounded decay-rate reaches -36u. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S433 (Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert, Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S433 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against +1 on win / -1 on loss over 216 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 140-unit bankroll under a 90-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 216 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 8-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 9.26% tie frequency (20 pushes) and 2.55u in vigorish friction.
When Player 1:1 Streak (streak) injects a 8-hand extreme run and 20 tie pushes (9.26% Tie density) over 216 coups, absorbing-barrier audit S433-1 measures Reverse Fibonacci Press at 5.32u expected erosion (18.91% ruin) compared with 4.25u (12.18% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press on 140 units.
Benchmark S433-2 dissects the house-edge-anchored volatility-band between Rev Fibonacci and Contra D'Alembert over 216 hands of Player 1:1 Streak: with 140 units, a 90-unit cap, and 1.2351% house edge, ruin settles at 18.91% vs 12.18% while commission-adjusted distribution reaches -36u.
| S433 distribution | Rev Fibonacci | Contra D'Alembert |
|---|---|---|
| Rev Fibonacci / Contra D'Alembert Rule | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 | +1 on win / -1 on loss |
| 216-Hand Ruin (140u) | 18.91% | 12.18% |
| Player 1:1 Streak Hold (1.2351%) | 5.32u | 4.25u |
| 8-Run Trough (90u Cap) | -36u | -23u |
When Player 1:1 Streak (streak) injects a 8-hand extreme run and 20 tie pushes (9.26% Tie density) over 216 coups, eight-deck audit S433-3 quantifies Reverse Fibonacci Press at 5.32u expected erosion (18.91% ruin) compared with 4.25u (12.18% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press on 140 units.
Benchmark S433-4 computes the table-capped survival-window between Rev Fibonacci and Contra D'Alembert over 216 hands of Player 1:1 Streak: with 140 units, a 90-unit cap, and 1.2351% house edge, ruin settles at 18.91% vs 12.18% while combinatorial survival-window reaches -36u.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
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Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).