Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math & Odds Hub
  3. Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert (4-Shoe Streak)
STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · REV FIBONACCI VS CONTRA D'ALEMBERT

Reverse Fibonacci Press vs. Contra D'Alembert Press — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)

Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert in scenario S436-0 (288 hands, 180u stack, 100u table limit) inspects how 26 tie stalls (9.03%) and a 12-coup run shape absorbing-barrier excursion, yielding 17.79% vs 13.30% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

Rev Fibonacci Ruin Rate
17.79%
Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
13.30%
Peak Trough (12-Run)
-50u
4-Shoe Streak House Edge
1.4579%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S436 (Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert, Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert (4-Shoe Streak)

Stress cell S436 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against +1 on win / -1 on loss over 288 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
17.79% vs 13.30%

Probability of exhausting the 180-unit bankroll under a 100-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
8.38u vs 6.68u

Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 288 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-50u vs -28u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 12-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
26 Ties · 5.20u Drag

Reflects 9.03% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 5.20u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S436 · STREAK SHOE PROFILE

Rev Fibonacci vs. Contra D'Alembert finite-shoe threshold (288 Hands · S436)

Stress test S436-1 documents Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) inside a 180-unit bankroll over 288 hands (4-Shoe Streak, streak), where a 100-unit table ceiling produces 17.79% vs 13.30% ruin rates and audits 5.20u in house-edge-anchored vigorish drag.

Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert in scenario S436-2 (288 hands, 180u stack, 100u table limit) audits how 26 tie stalls (9.03%) and a 12-coup run shape eight-deck turnover, yielding 17.79% vs 13.30% ruin.

S436 thresholdRev FibonacciContra D'Alembert
Rev Fibonacci / Contra D'Alembert Rule1-1-2-3-5-8-13+1 on win / -1 on loss
288-Hand Ruin (180u)17.79%13.30%
4-Shoe Streak Hold (1.4579%)8.38u6.68u
12-Run Trough (100u Cap)-50u-28u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

4-Shoe Streak Vigorish (5.20u) & 9.03% Tie Push Audit (S436)

Stress test S436-3 profiles Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Contra D'Alembert Press (+1 on win / -1 on loss) inside a 180-unit bankroll over 288 hands (4-Shoe Streak, streak), where a 100-unit table ceiling produces 17.79% vs 13.30% ruin rates and measures 5.20u in table-capped vigorish drag.

Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert in scenario S436-4 (288 hands, 180u stack, 100u table limit) verifies how 26 tie stalls (9.03%) and a 12-coup run shape step-indexed decay-rate, yielding 17.79% vs 13.30% ruin.

  • Trial S436: set a 180u stop before running Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert over 288 hands.
  • Scenario S436 verifies 5.20u in commission drag and 26 tie pushes (9.03% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S436: derived road red marks finite-shoe column repetition and blue marks a structural break (threshold), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from Contra D'Alembert to Rev Fibonacci during Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 neutralizes the 1.4579% house edge.
TruthOver 288 hands on a 180-unit stack, Rev Fibonacci carries 8.38u expected loss (17.79% ruin) vs 6.68u (13.30% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert.
MythDuring a 12-hand streak sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android