In head-to-head trial S424-0 across 75 deals (5% Comm Streak, 1.0579% edge), Rev Fibonacci records a -42u peak threshold and 12.40% ruin probability on a 80-unit stack, whereas Contra D'Alembert logs a -26u trough and 7.21% ruin under the 60-unit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S424 (Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert, 9-Hand Dragon Streak Shoe under 5% Banker Commission). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S424 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against +1 on win / -1 on loss over 75 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 80-unit bankroll under a 60-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% house edge) across 75 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 9-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.4% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 0.76u in vigorish friction.
Within sequential testbed S424-1, a 80-unit bankroll facing 75 coups of 5% Comm Streak (streak) and a 60-unit maximum wager profiles 12.40% ruin (1.58u expected loss) on Reverse Fibonacci Press versus 7.21% ruin (1.26u expected loss) on Contra D'Alembert Press.
In head-to-head trial S424-2 across 75 deals (5% Comm Streak, 1.0579% edge), Rev Fibonacci records a -42u peak footprint and 12.40% ruin probability on a 80-unit stack, whereas Contra D'Alembert logs a -26u trough and 7.21% ruin under the 60-unit limit.
| S424 envelope | Rev Fibonacci | Contra D'Alembert |
|---|---|---|
| Rev Fibonacci / Contra D'Alembert Rule | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 | +1 on win / -1 on loss |
| 75-Hand Ruin (80u) | 12.40% | 7.21% |
| 5% Comm Streak Hold (1.0579%) | 1.58u | 1.26u |
| 9-Run Trough (60u Cap) | -42u | -26u |
Within stochastic testbed S424-3, a 80-unit bankroll facing 75 coups of 5% Comm Streak (streak) and a 60-unit maximum wager benchmarks 12.40% ruin (1.58u expected loss) on Reverse Fibonacci Press versus 7.21% ruin (1.26u expected loss) on Contra D'Alembert Press.
In head-to-head trial S424-4 across 75 deals (5% Comm Streak, 1.0579% edge), Rev Fibonacci records a -42u peak cadence and 12.40% ruin probability on a 80-unit stack, whereas Contra D'Alembert logs a -26u trough and 7.21% ruin under the 60-unit limit.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.