In multi-coup comparative trial S434-0, running Rev Fibonacci against Contra D'Alembert for 210 hands of Player High-Tie (high-tie) on 130 units tracks 5.17u vs 4.13u in expected toll and 22.70% vs 12.96% ruin under a 85-unit pit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S434 (Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert, Three-Shoe 15% Tie Density on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Stress cell S434 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against +1 on win / -1 on loss over 210 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 130-unit bankroll under a 85-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 210 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 4-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.
Reflects 15.24% tie frequency (32 pushes) and 2.48u in vigorish friction.
Under Player High-Tie (1.2351% effective edge), discrete-time stress run S434-1 over 210 hands and a 130-unit treasury calibrates a -25u drawdown (22.70% ruin) for Reverse Fibonacci Press against -17u (12.96% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press inside a 85-unit cap.
In drawdown-weighted comparative trial S434-2, running Rev Fibonacci against Contra D'Alembert for 210 hands of Player High-Tie (high-tie) on 130 units tabulates 5.17u vs 4.13u in expected toll and 22.70% vs 12.96% ruin under a 85-unit pit limit.
| S434 absorption-curve | Rev Fibonacci | Contra D'Alembert |
|---|---|---|
| Rev Fibonacci / Contra D'Alembert Rule | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 | +1 on win / -1 on loss |
| 210-Hand Ruin (130u) | 22.70% | 12.96% |
| Player High-Tie Hold (1.2351%) | 5.17u | 4.13u |
| 4-Run Trough (85u Cap) | -25u | -17u |
Under Player High-Tie (1.2351% effective edge), capital-bounded stress run S434-3 over 210 hands and a 130-unit treasury models a -25u drawdown (22.70% ruin) for Reverse Fibonacci Press against -17u (12.96% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert Press inside a 85-unit cap.
In sequential comparative trial S434-4, running Rev Fibonacci against Contra D'Alembert for 210 hands of Player High-Tie (high-tie) on 130 units measures 5.17u vs 4.13u in expected toll and 22.70% vs 12.96% ruin under a 85-unit pit limit.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
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Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.