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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · REV FIBONACCI VS CONTRA D'ALEMBERT

Reverse Fibonacci Press vs. Contra D'Alembert Press — Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (152-Hand Stress Test)

In head-to-head trial S431-0 across 152 deals (EZ High-Tie, 1.0284% edge), Rev Fibonacci records a -25u peak exposure and 21.16% ruin probability on a 110-unit stack, whereas Contra D'Alembert logs a -16u trough and 10.53% ruin under the 75-unit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

Rev Fibonacci Ruin Rate
21.16%
Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
10.53%
Peak Trough (5-Run)
-25u
EZ High-Tie House Edge
1.0284%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B P B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S431 (Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert, Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert (EZ High-Tie)

Stress cell S431 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against +1 on win / -1 on loss over 152 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
21.16% vs 10.53%

Probability of exhausting the 110-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
3.12u vs 2.49u

Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 152 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-25u vs -16u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 5-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
26 Ties · 1.50u Drag

Reflects 17.11% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 1.50u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S431 · HIGH-TIE SHOE PROFILE

Rev Fibonacci vs. Contra D'Alembert bankroll-constrained turnover (152 Hands · S431)

Within multi-coup testbed S431-1, a 110-unit bankroll facing 152 coups of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) and a 75-unit maximum wager charts 21.16% ruin (3.12u expected loss) on Reverse Fibonacci Press versus 10.53% ruin (2.49u expected loss) on Contra D'Alembert Press.

In head-to-head trial S431-2 across 152 deals (EZ High-Tie, 1.0284% edge), Rev Fibonacci records a -25u peak profile and 21.16% ruin probability on a 110-unit stack, whereas Contra D'Alembert logs a -16u trough and 10.53% ruin under the 75-unit limit.

S431 turnoverRev FibonacciContra D'Alembert
Rev Fibonacci / Contra D'Alembert Rule1-1-2-3-5-8-13+1 on win / -1 on loss
152-Hand Ruin (110u)21.16%10.53%
EZ High-Tie Hold (1.0284%)3.12u2.49u
5-Run Trough (75u Cap)-25u-16u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

EZ High-Tie Vigorish (1.50u) & 17.11% Tie Push Audit (S431)

Within drawdown-weighted testbed S431-3, a 110-unit bankroll facing 152 coups of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) and a 75-unit maximum wager documents 21.16% ruin (3.12u expected loss) on Reverse Fibonacci Press versus 10.53% ruin (2.49u expected loss) on Contra D'Alembert Press.

In head-to-head trial S431-4 across 152 deals (EZ High-Tie, 1.0284% edge), Rev Fibonacci records a -25u peak boundary and 21.16% ruin probability on a 110-unit stack, whereas Contra D'Alembert logs a -16u trough and 10.53% ruin under the 75-unit limit.

  • Trial S431: set a 110u stop before running Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert over 152 hands.
  • Scenario S431 measures 1.50u in commission drag and 26 tie pushes (17.11% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S431: derived road red marks bankroll-constrained column repetition and blue marks a structural break (turnover), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from Contra D'Alembert to Rev Fibonacci during Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push neutralizes the 1.0284% house edge.
TruthOver 152 hands on a 110-unit stack, Rev Fibonacci carries 3.12u expected loss (21.16% ruin) vs 2.49u (10.53% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert.
MythDuring a 5-hand high-tie sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android