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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · REV FIBONACCI VS CONTRA D'ALEMBERT

Reverse Fibonacci Press vs. Contra D'Alembert Press — Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers (140-Hand Stress Test)

Head-to-head matrix S432-0 subjects Rev Fibonacci (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) and Contra D'Alembert (+1 on win / -1 on loss) to 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) with 95 units and a 70-unit roof, quantifies 3.45u versus 2.75u in mathematical house hold and 24.36% versus 11.44% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

Rev Fibonacci Ruin Rate
24.36%
Contra D'Alembert Ruin Rate
11.44%
Peak Trough (2-Run)
-18u
Player 1:1 Chop House Edge
1.2351%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S432 (Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert, Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert (Player 1:1 Chop)

Stress cell S432 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against +1 on win / -1 on loss over 140 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
24.36% vs 11.44%

Probability of exhausting the 95-unit bankroll under a 70-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
3.45u vs 2.75u

Theoretical erosion under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% house edge) across 140 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-18u vs -12u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 2-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
13 Ties · 1.66u Drag

Reflects 9.29% tie frequency (13 pushes) and 1.66u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S432 · CHOP SHOE PROFILE

Rev Fibonacci vs. Contra D'Alembert session-bounded escalation (140 Hands · S432)

Combinatorial stress ledger S432-1 computes Reverse Fibonacci Press versus Contra D'Alembert Press across 140 coups (95u bankroll, 70u max bet), demonstrating that 1.2351% house edge and 2-hand runs enforce 24.36% vs 11.44% ruin along the variance-scaled trajectory.

Head-to-head matrix S432-2 subjects Rev Fibonacci (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) and Contra D'Alembert (+1 on win / -1 on loss) to 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) with 95 units and a 70-unit roof, maps 3.45u versus 2.75u in mathematical house hold and 24.36% versus 11.44% ruin.

S432 escalationRev FibonacciContra D'Alembert
Rev Fibonacci / Contra D'Alembert Rule1-1-2-3-5-8-13+1 on win / -1 on loss
140-Hand Ruin (95u)24.36%11.44%
Player 1:1 Chop Hold (1.2351%)3.45u2.75u
2-Run Trough (70u Cap)-18u-12u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

Player 1:1 Chop Vigorish (1.66u) & 9.29% Tie Push Audit (S432)

Combinatorial stress ledger S432-3 evaluates Reverse Fibonacci Press versus Contra D'Alembert Press across 140 coups (95u bankroll, 70u max bet), demonstrating that 1.2351% house edge and 2-hand runs enforce 24.36% vs 11.44% ruin along the session-bounded cycle-span.

Head-to-head matrix S432-4 subjects Rev Fibonacci (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) and Contra D'Alembert (+1 on win / -1 on loss) to 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop (chop) with 95 units and a 70-unit roof, charts 3.45u versus 2.75u in mathematical house hold and 24.36% versus 11.44% ruin.

  • Trial S432: set a 95u stop before running Rev Fibonacci vs Contra D'Alembert over 140 hands.
  • Scenario S432 audits 1.66u in commission drag and 13 tie pushes (9.29% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S432: derived road red marks session-bounded column repetition and blue marks a structural break (escalation), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from Contra D'Alembert to Rev Fibonacci during Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers neutralizes the 1.2351% house edge.
TruthOver 140 hands on a 95-unit stack, Rev Fibonacci carries 3.45u expected loss (24.36% ruin) vs 2.75u (11.44% ruin) for Contra D'Alembert.
MythDuring a 2-hand chop sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android