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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · REV FIBONACCI · 75U / 3-SHOE

Reverse Fibonacci Press — 75-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Across 216 eight-deck hands (3 shoes), commission-adjusted simulation M262-0 for Reverse Fibonacci Press on a 75-unit bankroll tracks a 32.72% risk-of-ruin figure, calibrates 3 ceiling-collision events against the 60-unit cap and a 30.37% mid-corridor finish rate. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-38u Stop)
32.72%
Target Hit (+19u Cap)
36.92%
216-Hand Expected Hold
4.34u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
60u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M262 (Reverse Fibonacci Press, 75u bankroll, 216 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
75u / 3 Shoes (216 Hands)

Matrix cell M262 tests Reverse Fibonacci Press with a $50 base unit and -38u/+19u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
32.72%

Probability of hitting the -38u drawdown barrier before completing 216 hands or reaching +19u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
36.92%

Share of 216-hand trajectories reaching the +19u session ceiling, with 30.37% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (60u Cap)

A 60-unit house limit and 75-unit stack cap Rev Fibonacci escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
4.34u ($217)

Derived from 354u total action (1.64x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M262 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Rev Fibonacci 75u commission-adjusted profile Across 216 Hands (M262)

Cell M262-1 measures the asymmetric threshold of a 75-unit Rev Fibonacci plan over 216 hands: because each hand remains independent at 1.058% Banker edge, scaling stakes toward the 60-unit ceiling elevates total turnover to 354u and sets ruin at 32.72%.

Across 216 eight-deck hands (3 shoes), combinatorial simulation M262-2 for Reverse Fibonacci Press on a 75-unit bankroll maps a 32.72% risk-of-ruin figure, models 3 ceiling-collision events against the 60-unit cap and a 30.37% mid-corridor finish rate.

M262 ParameterRev Fibonacci (75u)3-Shoe profile
Rev Fibonacci Ladder1-1-2-3-5-8-13 (7 steps)Peak 13u multiplier on M262
75u Stack Window216 hands (3 shoes)Barriers -38u / +19u
60u Ceiling & Ruin32.72% ruin vs 36.92% winDepth 6 steps (3 cap hits)
354u Handle & Hold4.34u ($217)Multiplier 1.64x (commission-adjusted drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

60u Ceiling Collisions & Rev Fibonacci Turnover (3 Shoes)

Cell M262-3 documents the non-stationary footprint of a 75-unit Rev Fibonacci plan over 216 hands: because each hand remains independent at 1.058% Banker edge, scaling stakes toward the 60-unit ceiling elevates total turnover to 354u and sets ruin at 32.72%.

Across 216 eight-deck hands (3 shoes), table-capped simulation M262-4 for Reverse Fibonacci Press on a 75-unit bankroll benchmarks a 32.72% risk-of-ruin figure, dissects 3 ceiling-collision events against the 60-unit cap and a 30.37% mid-corridor finish rate.

  • Cell M262 rule: lock the -38u stop on your 75u Rev Fibonacci stack across 216 hands.
  • Matrix M262 models 4.34u ($217) in house hold over 354u of Rev Fibonacci action.
  • Scoreboard check M262: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (commission-adjusted profile) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 75 units to a 3-shoe session lets Reverse Fibonacci Press overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 216 hands, Rev Fibonacci generates 354u in action, 4.34u in expected loss, and a 32.72% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Rev Fibonacci bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 216-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android