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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · REV FIBONACCI · 40U / 1-SHOE

Reverse Fibonacci Press — 40-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Under variance-scaled boundary rules in M256-0, pairing Reverse Fibonacci Press with 40 units across 1 shoes (72 hands) and a 40-unit maximum measures a 20.82% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before house-edge-anchored capital-runway truncation. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-20u Stop)
20.82%
Target Hit (+10u Cap)
39.84%
72-Hand Expected Hold
1.18u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
40u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P B B P P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M256 (Reverse Fibonacci Press, 40u bankroll, 72 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
40u / 1 Shoes (72 Hands)

Matrix cell M256 tests Reverse Fibonacci Press with a $25 base unit and -20u/+10u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
20.82%

Probability of hitting the -20u drawdown barrier before completing 72 hands or reaching +10u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
39.84%

Share of 72-hand trajectories reaching the +10u session ceiling, with 39.34% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (40u Cap)

A 40-unit house limit and 40-unit stack cap Rev Fibonacci escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
1.18u ($30)

Derived from 96u total action (1.34x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M256 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Rev Fibonacci 40u non-stationary cadence Across 72 Hands (M256)

Audit M256-1 maps the step-indexed stake-velocity of Rev Fibonacci when anchored to 40 units and a 72-hand (1-shoe) schedule: the 40-unit maximum wager restricts recovery at step 6, locking in a 20.82% stop-loss frequency and $30 in mathematical friction.

Under eight-deck boundary rules in M256-2, pairing Reverse Fibonacci Press with 40 units across 1 shoes (72 hands) and a 40-unit maximum documents a 20.82% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before asymmetric envelope truncation.

M256 ParameterRev Fibonacci (40u)1-Shoe cadence
Rev Fibonacci Ladder1-1-2-3-5-8-13 (7 steps)Peak 13u multiplier on M256
40u Stack Window72 hands (1 shoes)Barriers -20u / +10u
40u Ceiling & Ruin20.82% ruin vs 39.84% winDepth 6 steps (2 cap hits)
96u Handle & Hold1.18u ($30)Multiplier 1.34x (non-stationary drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

40u Ceiling Collisions & Rev Fibonacci Turnover (1 Shoes)

Audit M256-3 benchmarks the absorbing-barrier drawdown-slope of Rev Fibonacci when anchored to 40 units and a 72-hand (1-shoe) schedule: the 40-unit maximum wager restricts recovery at step 6, locking in a 20.82% stop-loss frequency and $30 in mathematical friction.

Under bankroll-constrained boundary rules in M256-4, pairing Reverse Fibonacci Press with 40 units across 1 shoes (72 hands) and a 40-unit maximum models a 20.82% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before bankroll-constrained boundary truncation.

  • Cell M256 rule: lock the -20u stop on your 40u Rev Fibonacci stack across 72 hands.
  • Matrix M256 calibrates 1.18u ($30) in house hold over 96u of Rev Fibonacci action.
  • Scoreboard check M256: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (non-stationary cadence) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 40 units to a 1-shoe session lets Reverse Fibonacci Press overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 72 hands, Rev Fibonacci generates 96u in action, 1.18u in expected loss, and a 20.82% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Rev Fibonacci bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 72-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android