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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · REV FIBONACCI · 300U / 3-SHOE
Reverse Fibonacci Press — 300-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M272-0 benchmarks the discrete-time Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 9.29% ruin rate while profiles an average stake escalation of 2.30x and 6.10u ($305) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
- 9.29%
- Target Hit (+75u Cap)
- 43.48%
- 216-Hand Expected Hold
- 6.10u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 60u