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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · REV FIBONACCI · 300U / 10-SHOE

Reverse Fibonacci Press — 300-Unit Bankroll & 10-Shoe (720-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Sequential profile M273-0 measures Reverse Fibonacci Press over a 10-shoe (720-hand) horizon with 300 units: bankroll-constrained escalation (1-1-2-3-5-8-13, 7 steps) interacts with the 100-unit limit to tracks a 28.74% ruin rate and a drawdown-weighted boundary of 2.30x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
28.74%
Target Hit (+75u Cap)
38.44%
720-Hand Expected Hold
20.32u
Table Max (7-Step Depth)
100u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P B B P P B B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = = =
Small Road ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M273 (Reverse Fibonacci Press, 300u bankroll, 720 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
300u / 10 Shoes (720 Hands)

Matrix cell M273 tests Reverse Fibonacci Press with a $100 base unit and -150u/+75u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
28.74%

Probability of hitting the -150u drawdown barrier before completing 720 hands or reaching +75u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
38.44%

Share of 720-hand trajectories reaching the +75u session ceiling, with 32.82% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
7 Steps (100u Cap)

A 100-unit house limit and 300-unit stack cap Rev Fibonacci escalation after 7 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
20.32u ($2032)

Derived from 1656u total action (2.30x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M273 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Rev Fibonacci 300u table-capped decay-rate Across 720 Hands (M273)

Under configuration M273-1, deploying Rev Fibonacci with 300 base units over 720 resolved hands (10 shoes) maps a capital-bounded profile: hitting the 100-unit house cap after 7 adverse steps drives a 28.74% stop-loss breach rate against a 38.44% chance of reaching the +75-unit target.

Sequential profile M273-2 documents Reverse Fibonacci Press over a 10-shoe (720-hand) horizon with 300 units: discrete-time escalation (1-1-2-3-5-8-13, 7 steps) interacts with the 100-unit limit to tabulates a 28.74% ruin rate and a table-capped escalation of 2.30x.

M273 ParameterRev Fibonacci (300u)10-Shoe decay-rate
Rev Fibonacci Ladder1-1-2-3-5-8-13 (7 steps)Peak 13u multiplier on M273
300u Stack Window720 hands (10 shoes)Barriers -150u / +75u
100u Ceiling & Ruin28.74% ruin vs 38.44% winDepth 7 steps (7 cap hits)
1656u Handle & Hold20.32u ($2032)Multiplier 2.30x (table-capped drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

100u Ceiling Collisions & Rev Fibonacci Turnover (10 Shoes)

Under configuration M273-3, deploying Rev Fibonacci with 300 base units over 720 resolved hands (10 shoes) benchmarks a commission-adjusted boundary: hitting the 100-unit house cap after 7 adverse steps drives a 28.74% stop-loss breach rate against a 38.44% chance of reaching the +75-unit target.

Sequential profile M273-4 models Reverse Fibonacci Press over a 10-shoe (720-hand) horizon with 300 units: asymmetric escalation (1-1-2-3-5-8-13, 7 steps) interacts with the 100-unit limit to measures a 28.74% ruin rate and a commission-adjusted threshold of 2.30x.

  • Cell M273 rule: lock the -150u stop on your 300u Rev Fibonacci stack across 720 hands.
  • Matrix M273 calibrates 20.32u ($2032) in house hold over 1656u of Rev Fibonacci action.
  • Scoreboard check M273: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (table-capped decay-rate) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 300 units to a 10-shoe session lets Reverse Fibonacci Press overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 720 hands, Rev Fibonacci generates 1656u in action, 20.32u in expected loss, and a 28.74% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Rev Fibonacci bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 720-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android