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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · REV FIBONACCI · 200U / 2-SHOE

Reverse Fibonacci Press — 200-Unit Bankroll & 2-Shoe (144-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Across 144 eight-deck hands (2 shoes), house-edge-anchored simulation M269-0 for Reverse Fibonacci Press on a 200-unit bankroll calibrates a 8.18% risk-of-ruin figure, dissects 3 ceiling-collision events against the 50-unit cap and a 47.21% mid-corridor finish rate. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-100u Stop)
8.18%
Target Hit (+50u Cap)
44.61%
144-Hand Expected Hold
4.06u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
50u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M269 (Reverse Fibonacci Press, 200u bankroll, 144 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
200u / 2 Shoes (144 Hands)

Matrix cell M269 tests Reverse Fibonacci Press with a $25 base unit and -100u/+50u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
8.18%

Probability of hitting the -100u drawdown barrier before completing 144 hands or reaching +50u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
44.61%

Share of 144-hand trajectories reaching the +50u session ceiling, with 47.21% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (50u Cap)

A 50-unit house limit and 200-unit stack cap Rev Fibonacci escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
4.06u ($101)

Derived from 331u total action (2.30x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M269 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Rev Fibonacci 200u stochastic excursion Across 144 Hands (M269)

Cell M269-1 dissects the stochastic decay-rate of a 200-unit Rev Fibonacci plan over 144 hands: because each hand remains independent at 1.058% Banker edge, scaling stakes toward the 50-unit ceiling elevates total turnover to 331u and sets ruin at 8.18%.

Across 144 eight-deck hands (2 shoes), sequential simulation M269-2 for Reverse Fibonacci Press on a 200-unit bankroll evaluates a 8.18% risk-of-ruin figure, computes 3 ceiling-collision events against the 50-unit cap and a 47.21% mid-corridor finish rate.

M269 ParameterRev Fibonacci (200u)2-Shoe excursion
Rev Fibonacci Ladder1-1-2-3-5-8-13 (7 steps)Peak 13u multiplier on M269
200u Stack Window144 hands (2 shoes)Barriers -100u / +50u
50u Ceiling & Ruin8.18% ruin vs 44.61% winDepth 6 steps (3 cap hits)
331u Handle & Hold4.06u ($101)Multiplier 2.30x (stochastic drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

50u Ceiling Collisions & Rev Fibonacci Turnover (2 Shoes)

Cell M269-3 audits the drawdown-weighted threshold of a 200-unit Rev Fibonacci plan over 144 hands: because each hand remains independent at 1.058% Banker edge, scaling stakes toward the 50-unit ceiling elevates total turnover to 331u and sets ruin at 8.18%.

Across 144 eight-deck hands (2 shoes), multi-coup simulation M269-4 for Reverse Fibonacci Press on a 200-unit bankroll tracks a 8.18% risk-of-ruin figure, evaluates 3 ceiling-collision events against the 50-unit cap and a 47.21% mid-corridor finish rate.

  • Cell M269 rule: lock the -100u stop on your 200u Rev Fibonacci stack across 144 hands.
  • Matrix M269 inspects 4.06u ($101) in house hold over 331u of Rev Fibonacci action.
  • Scoreboard check M269: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (stochastic excursion) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 200 units to a 2-shoe session lets Reverse Fibonacci Press overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 144 hands, Rev Fibonacci generates 331u in action, 4.06u in expected loss, and a 8.18% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Rev Fibonacci bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 144-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android