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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · REV FIBONACCI · 100U / 5-SHOE

Reverse Fibonacci Press — 100-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Case M265-0 verifies the step-indexed Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 42.01% ruin rate while charts an average stake exposure of 1.85x and 8.17u ($409) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-50u Stop)
42.01%
Target Hit (+25u Cap)
35.54%
360-Hand Expected Hold
8.17u
Table Max (7-Step Depth)
80u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B B P P B B P P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M265 (Reverse Fibonacci Press, 100u bankroll, 360 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
100u / 5 Shoes (360 Hands)

Matrix cell M265 tests Reverse Fibonacci Press with a $50 base unit and -50u/+25u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
42.01%

Probability of hitting the -50u drawdown barrier before completing 360 hands or reaching +25u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
35.54%

Share of 360-hand trajectories reaching the +25u session ceiling, with 22.45% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
7 Steps (80u Cap)

A 80-unit house limit and 100-unit stack cap Rev Fibonacci escalation after 7 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
8.17u ($409)

Derived from 666u total action (1.85x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M265 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Rev Fibonacci 100u drawdown-weighted progression-curve Across 360 Hands (M265)

In eight-deck benchmark M265-1, running Rev Fibonacci across 360 deals with 100 units and a 80-unit maximum wager tabulates 666u of total handle, 8.17u in commission-weighted drift, and a 42.01% probability of exhausting the 50-unit drawdown buffer.

Case M265-2 quantifies the absorbing-barrier Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 42.01% ruin rate while documents an average stake profile of 1.85x and 8.17u ($409) in theoretical house-edge toll.

M265 ParameterRev Fibonacci (100u)5-Shoe progression-curve
Rev Fibonacci Ladder1-1-2-3-5-8-13 (7 steps)Peak 13u multiplier on M265
100u Stack Window360 hands (5 shoes)Barriers -50u / +25u
80u Ceiling & Ruin42.01% ruin vs 35.54% winDepth 7 steps (4 cap hits)
666u Handle & Hold8.17u ($409)Multiplier 1.85x (drawdown-weighted drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

80u Ceiling Collisions & Rev Fibonacci Turnover (5 Shoes)

In bankroll-constrained benchmark M265-3, running Rev Fibonacci across 360 deals with 100 units and a 80-unit maximum wager charts 666u of total handle, 8.17u in commission-weighted drift, and a 42.01% probability of exhausting the 50-unit drawdown buffer.

Case M265-4 profiles the capital-bounded Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 42.01% ruin rate while profiles an average stake boundary of 1.85x and 8.17u ($409) in theoretical house-edge toll.

  • Cell M265 rule: lock the -50u stop on your 100u Rev Fibonacci stack across 360 hands.
  • Matrix M265 measures 8.17u ($409) in house hold over 666u of Rev Fibonacci action.
  • Scoreboard check M265: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (drawdown-weighted progression-curve) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 100 units to a 5-shoe session lets Reverse Fibonacci Press overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 360 hands, Rev Fibonacci generates 666u in action, 8.17u in expected loss, and a 42.01% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Rev Fibonacci bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 360-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android