Matchup S401-0 quantifies how a 100-unit roll and 75-unit pit maximum govern Paroli versus 2-1-2 Manhattan during 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop: step-indexed cadence divergence pushes primary ruin to 17.87% against 11.48% for the benchmark while computes 1.03u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S401 (Paroli vs 2-1-2 Manhattan, Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S401 compares 1-2-4-reset against 2-1-2-3-4-5 over 144 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 100-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 144 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 3-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.72% tie frequency (14 pushes) and 1.03u in vigorish friction.
During 144 deals of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) in audit S401-1, Paroli 3-Step Press (1-2-4-reset) and 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression (2-1-2-3-4-5) navigate 14 tie pushes on a 100-unit roll with a 75-unit cap, computes 17.87% vs 11.48% ruin and 1.03u in commission drag.
Matchup S401-2 maps how a 100-unit roll and 75-unit pit maximum govern Paroli versus 2-1-2 Manhattan during 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop: variance-scaled escalation divergence pushes primary ruin to 17.87% against 11.48% for the benchmark while verifies 1.03u in commission friction.
| S401 drawdown-slope | Paroli | 2-1-2 Manhattan |
|---|---|---|
| Paroli / 2-1-2 Manhattan Rule | 1-2-4-reset | 2-1-2-3-4-5 |
| 144-Hand Ruin (100u) | 17.87% | 11.48% |
| EZ Dragon Chop Hold (1.0284%) | 2.14u | 2.22u |
| 3-Run Trough (75u Cap) | -18u | -12u |
During 144 deals of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) in audit S401-3, Paroli 3-Step Press (1-2-4-reset) and 2-1-2 Manhattan Progression (2-1-2-3-4-5) navigate 14 tie pushes on a 100-unit roll with a 75-unit cap, evaluates 17.87% vs 11.48% ruin and 1.03u in commission drag.
Matchup S401-4 charts how a 100-unit roll and 75-unit pit maximum govern Paroli versus 2-1-2 Manhattan during 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop: session-bounded exposure divergence pushes primary ruin to 17.87% against 11.48% for the benchmark while quantifies 1.03u in commission friction.
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Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.
Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.