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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · PAROLI · 300U / 3-SHOE
Paroli 3-Step Press — 300-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M172-0 tabulates the session-bounded Paroli 3-Step Press (1-2-4-reset) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 6.74% ruin rate while evaluates an average stake turnover of 1.61x and 3.98u ($199) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
- 6.74%
- Target Hit (+75u Cap)
- 44.19%
- 216-Hand Expected Hold
- 3.98u
- Table Max (5-Step Depth)
- 60u