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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · PAROLI · 100U / 5-SHOE
Paroli 3-Step Press — 100-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M165-0 calibrates the stochastic Paroli 3-Step Press (1-2-4-reset) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 32.23% ruin rate while dissects an average stake decay-rate of 1.40x and 5.76u ($288) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-50u Stop)
- 32.23%
- Target Hit (+25u Cap)
- 38.28%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 5.76u
- Table Max (5-Step Depth)
- 80u