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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · OSCAR'S GRIND · 300U / 10-SHOE
Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle — 300-Unit Bankroll & 10-Shoe (720-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Sequential profile M398-0 audits Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle over a 10-shoe (720-hand) horizon with 300 units: asymmetric escalation (hold on loss / +1 on win, 12 steps) interacts with the 100-unit limit to tabulates a 26.15% ruin rate and a session-bounded stake-velocity of 2.04x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
- 26.15%
- Target Hit (+75u Cap)
- 39.16%
- 720-Hand Expected Hold
- 18.34u
- Table Max (7-Step Depth)
- 100u