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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS PAROLI
Martingale Doubling vs. Paroli 3-Step Press — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Head-to-head matrix S324-0 subjects Martingale (1-2-4-8-16-32-64) and Paroli (1-2-4-reset) to 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak (streak) with 180 units and a 100-unit roof, evaluates 18.78u versus 5.85u in mathematical house hold and 55.03% versus 11.82% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 55.03%
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 11.82%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -74u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%