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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS PAROLI
Martingale Doubling vs. Paroli 3-Step Press — 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (74-Hand Stress Test)
Pairing a 90-unit bankroll against 74 hands of No-Comm Streak (1.4579% edge) in cell S315-0 tabulates Martingale at 29.27% ruin and -72u peak progression-curve, whereas Paroli records 6.29% ruin and -28u below the 65-unit ceiling. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 29.27%
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 6.29%
- Peak Trough (11-Run)
- -72u
- No-Comm Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%