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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS PAROLI
Martingale Doubling vs. Paroli 3-Step Press — Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (148-Hand Stress Test)
Benchmark S318-0 charts the bankroll-constrained threshold between Martingale and Paroli over 148 hands of EZ Dragon Streak: with 120 units, a 80-unit cap, and 1.0284% house edge, ruin settles at 41.14% vs 8.05% while finite-shoe decay-rate reaches -64u. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 41.14%
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 8.05%
- Peak Trough (10-Run)
- -64u
- EZ Dragon Streak House Edge
- 1.0284%