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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS PAROLI
Martingale Doubling vs. Paroli 3-Step Press — 16% High-Tie Cluster Shoe under 5% Banker Commission (78-Hand Stress Test)
Matchup S313-0 maps how a 75-unit roll and 50-unit pit maximum govern Martingale versus Paroli during 78 hands of 5% Comm High-Tie: asymmetric dispersion divergence pushes primary ruin to 28.22% against 7.25% for the benchmark while calibrates 1.77u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 28.22%
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 7.25%
- Peak Trough (4-Run)
- -34u
- 5% Comm High-Tie House Edge
- 1.0579%