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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS PAROLI
Martingale Doubling vs. Paroli 3-Step Press — Two-Shoe Strict Alternation on Even-Money Player Wagers (140-Hand Stress Test)
Matchup S320-0 measures how a 95-unit roll and 70-unit pit maximum govern Martingale versus Paroli during 140 hands of Player 1:1 Chop: non-stationary cycle-span divergence pushes primary ruin to 31.21% against 10.08% for the benchmark while audits 3.71u in commission friction. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 31.21%
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 10.08%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -24u
- Player 1:1 Chop House Edge
- 1.2351%