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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS PAROLI
Martingale Doubling vs. Paroli 3-Step Press — Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (70-Hand Stress Test)
Evaluating Martingale vs Paroli in scenario S314-0 (70 hands, 65u stack, 50u table limit) dissects how 7 tie stalls (9.55%) and a 2-coup run shape table-capped footprint, yielding 23.91% vs 7.72% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 23.91%
- Paroli Ruin Rate
- 7.72%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -24u
- No-Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.4579%