Stress test S385-0 benchmarks Martingale Doubling (1-2-4-8-16-32-64) against Fibonacci Negative Sequence (1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 28.69% vs 9.89% ruin rates and inspects 2.99u in sequential vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S385 (Martingale vs Fibonacci, 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S385 compares 1-2-4-8-16-32-64 against 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34 over 74 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 90-unit bankroll under a 65-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 74 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 11-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.11% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 2.99u in vigorish friction.
Evaluating Martingale vs Fibonacci in scenario S385-1 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) tracks how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape bankroll-constrained ledger, yielding 28.69% vs 9.89% ruin.
Stress test S385-2 calibrates Martingale Doubling (1-2-4-8-16-32-64) against Fibonacci Negative Sequence (1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 28.69% vs 9.89% ruin rates and tabulates 2.99u in stochastic vigorish drag.
| S385 dispersion | Martingale | Fibonacci |
|---|---|---|
| Martingale / Fibonacci Rule | 1-2-4-8-16-32-64 | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34 |
| 74-Hand Ruin (90u) | 28.69% | 9.89% |
| No-Comm Streak Hold (1.4579%) | 4.83u | 2.51u |
| 11-Run Trough (65u Cap) | -70u | -39u |
Evaluating Martingale vs Fibonacci in scenario S385-3 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) tabulates how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape absorbing-barrier excursion, yielding 28.69% vs 9.89% ruin.
Stress test S385-4 models Martingale Doubling (1-2-4-8-16-32-64) against Fibonacci Negative Sequence (1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 28.69% vs 9.89% ruin rates and charts 2.99u in house-edge-anchored vigorish drag.
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