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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS FIBONACCI
Martingale Doubling vs. Fibonacci Negative Sequence — Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (152-Hand Stress Test)
When EZ High-Tie (high-tie) injects a 5-hand extreme run and 26 tie pushes (17.11% Tie density) over 152 coups, commission-adjusted audit S389-0 measures Martingale Doubling at 6.99u expected erosion (35.57% ruin) compared with 3.64u (15.30% ruin) for Fibonacci Negative Sequence on 110 units. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 35.57%
- Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 15.30%
- Peak Trough (5-Run)
- -37u
- EZ High-Tie House Edge
- 1.0284%