Within step-indexed testbed S387-0, a 100-unit bankroll facing 144 coups of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) and a 75-unit maximum wager charts 31.68% ruin (6.62u expected loss) on Martingale Doubling versus 17.09% ruin (3.45u expected loss) on Fibonacci Negative Sequence. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S387 (Martingale vs Fibonacci, Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Stress cell S387 compares 1-2-4-8-16-32-64 against 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34 over 144 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 100-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 144 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 3-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.72% tie frequency (14 pushes) and 3.18u in vigorish friction.
In head-to-head trial S387-1 across 144 deals (EZ Dragon Chop, 1.0284% edge), Martingale records a -31u peak dispersion and 31.68% ruin probability on a 100-unit stack, whereas Fibonacci logs a -16u trough and 17.09% ruin under the 75-unit limit.
Within variance-scaled testbed S387-2, a 100-unit bankroll facing 144 coups of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) and a 75-unit maximum wager documents 31.68% ruin (6.62u expected loss) on Martingale Doubling versus 17.09% ruin (3.45u expected loss) on Fibonacci Negative Sequence.
| S387 survival-window | Martingale | Fibonacci |
|---|---|---|
| Martingale / Fibonacci Rule | 1-2-4-8-16-32-64 | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34 |
| 144-Hand Ruin (100u) | 31.68% | 17.09% |
| EZ Dragon Chop Hold (1.0284%) | 6.62u | 3.45u |
| 3-Run Trough (75u Cap) | -31u | -16u |
In head-to-head trial S387-3 across 144 deals (EZ Dragon Chop, 1.0284% edge), Martingale records a -31u peak distribution and 31.68% ruin probability on a 100-unit stack, whereas Fibonacci logs a -16u trough and 17.09% ruin under the 75-unit limit.
Within session-bounded testbed S387-4, a 100-unit bankroll facing 144 coups of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) and a 75-unit maximum wager profiles 31.68% ruin (6.62u expected loss) on Martingale Doubling versus 17.09% ruin (3.45u expected loss) on Fibonacci Negative Sequence.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
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Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
Inspect Big Road, Bead Plate, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig marks interactively.
Step-by-step lookback rules for Big Eye Boy (1), Small Road (2), and Cockroach Pig (3).
Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.