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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · MARTINGALE VS FIBONACCI
Martingale Doubling vs. Fibonacci Negative Sequence — Single-Alternating Chop under 5% Banker Commission (72-Hand Stress Test)
Combinatorial stress ledger S381-0 inspects Martingale Doubling versus Fibonacci Negative Sequence across 72 coups (60u bankroll, 50u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0579% house edge and 2-hand runs enforce 25.00% vs 13.09% ruin along the eight-deck distribution. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Martingale Ruin Rate
- 25.00%
- Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 13.09%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -25u
- 5% Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.0579%