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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · MARTINGALE · 150U / 1-SHOE
Martingale Doubling — 150-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Sequential profile M116-0 benchmarks Martingale Doubling over a 1-shoe (72-hand) horizon with 150 units: finite-shoe escalation (1-2-4-8-16-32-64, 7 steps) interacts with the 40-unit limit to profiles a 10.36% ruin rate and a step-indexed survival-window of 4.79x. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-75u Stop)
- 10.36%
- Target Hit (+38u Cap)
- 42.56%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 5.18u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 40u