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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · MARTINGALE · 100U / 5-SHOE
Martingale Doubling — 100-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M115-0 inspects the variance-scaled Martingale Doubling (1-2-4-8-16-32-64) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 74.90% ruin rate while inspects an average stake distribution of 3.53x and 19.09u ($955) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-50u Stop)
- 74.90%
- Target Hit (+25u Cap)
- 26.34%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 19.09u
- Table Max (7-Step Depth)
- 80u