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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · LABOUCHERE VS OSCAR'S GRIND

Labouchere Split-Line vs. Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle — Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (148-Hand Stress Test)

Within bankroll-constrained testbed S360-0, a 120-unit bankroll facing 148 coups of EZ Dragon Streak (streak) and a 80-unit maximum wager verifies 20.38% ruin (4.82u expected loss) on Labouchere Split-Line versus 9.49% ruin (2.50u expected loss) on Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

Labouchere Ruin Rate
20.38%
Oscar's Grind Ruin Rate
9.49%
Peak Trough (10-Run)
-51u
EZ Dragon Streak House Edge
1.0284%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P B B P B P B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S360 (Labouchere vs Oscar's Grind, Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
Labouchere vs Oscar's Grind (EZ Dragon Streak)

Stress cell S360 compares [1-2-3-2-1] outside sum against hold on loss / +1 on win over 148 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
20.38% vs 9.49%

Probability of exhausting the 120-unit bankroll under a 80-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
4.82u vs 2.50u

Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 148 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-51u vs -29u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 10-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
13 Ties · 2.31u Drag

Reflects 8.78% tie frequency (13 pushes) and 2.31u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S360 · STREAK SHOE PROFILE

Labouchere vs. Oscar's Grind combinatorial escalation (148 Hands · S360)

In head-to-head trial S360-1 across 148 deals (EZ Dragon Streak, 1.0284% edge), Labouchere records a -51u peak trajectory and 20.38% ruin probability on a 120-unit stack, whereas Oscar's Grind logs a -29u trough and 9.49% ruin under the 80-unit limit.

Within absorbing-barrier testbed S360-2, a 120-unit bankroll facing 148 coups of EZ Dragon Streak (streak) and a 80-unit maximum wager tracks 20.38% ruin (4.82u expected loss) on Labouchere Split-Line versus 9.49% ruin (2.50u expected loss) on Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle.

S360 escalationLabouchereOscar's Grind
Labouchere / Oscar's Grind Rule[1-2-3-2-1] outside sumhold on loss / +1 on win
148-Hand Ruin (120u)20.38%9.49%
EZ Dragon Streak Hold (1.0284%)4.82u2.50u
10-Run Trough (80u Cap)-51u-29u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

EZ Dragon Streak Vigorish (2.31u) & 8.78% Tie Push Audit (S360)

In head-to-head trial S360-3 across 148 deals (EZ Dragon Streak, 1.0284% edge), Labouchere records a -51u peak cycle-span and 20.38% ruin probability on a 120-unit stack, whereas Oscar's Grind logs a -29u trough and 9.49% ruin under the 80-unit limit.

Within eight-deck testbed S360-4, a 120-unit bankroll facing 148 coups of EZ Dragon Streak (streak) and a 80-unit maximum wager tabulates 20.38% ruin (4.82u expected loss) on Labouchere Split-Line versus 9.49% ruin (2.50u expected loss) on Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle.

  • Trial S360: set a 120u stop before running Labouchere vs Oscar's Grind over 148 hands.
  • Scenario S360 models 2.31u in commission drag and 13 tie pushes (8.78% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S360: derived road red marks combinatorial column repetition and blue marks a structural break (escalation), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from Oscar's Grind to Labouchere during Two-Shoe 10-Deep Streak under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push neutralizes the 1.0284% house edge.
TruthOver 148 hands on a 120-unit stack, Labouchere carries 4.82u expected loss (20.38% ruin) vs 2.50u (9.49% ruin) for Oscar's Grind.
MythDuring a 10-hand streak sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android