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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · LABOUCHERE VS OSCAR'S GRIND

Labouchere Split-Line vs. Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle — Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (152-Hand Stress Test)

Combinatorial stress ledger S361-0 documents Labouchere Split-Line versus Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle across 152 coups (110u bankroll, 75u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0284% house edge and 5-hand runs enforce 29.19% vs 10.86% ruin along the commission-adjusted drawdown-slope. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

Labouchere Ruin Rate
29.19%
Oscar's Grind Ruin Rate
10.86%
Peak Trough (5-Run)
-33u
EZ High-Tie House Edge
1.0284%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B P P B P B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ = =
Small Road = = = = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = = = = = = ≠ ≠ = =

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S361 (Labouchere vs Oscar's Grind, Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
Labouchere vs Oscar's Grind (EZ High-Tie)

Stress cell S361 compares [1-2-3-2-1] outside sum against hold on loss / +1 on win over 152 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
29.19% vs 10.86%

Probability of exhausting the 110-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
4.95u vs 2.57u

Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 152 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-33u vs -16u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 5-hand run inside the high-tie shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
26 Ties · 2.38u Drag

Reflects 17.11% tie frequency (26 pushes) and 2.38u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S361 · HIGH-TIE SHOE PROFILE

Labouchere vs. Oscar's Grind bankroll-constrained distribution (152 Hands · S361)

Head-to-head matrix S361-1 subjects Labouchere ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) and Oscar's Grind (hold on loss / +1 on win) to 152 hands of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) with 110 units and a 75-unit roof, audits 4.95u versus 2.57u in mathematical house hold and 29.19% versus 10.86% ruin.

Combinatorial stress ledger S361-2 profiles Labouchere Split-Line versus Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle across 152 coups (110u bankroll, 75u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0284% house edge and 5-hand runs enforce 29.19% vs 10.86% ruin along the discrete-time volatility-band.

S361 distributionLabouchereOscar's Grind
Labouchere / Oscar's Grind Rule[1-2-3-2-1] outside sumhold on loss / +1 on win
152-Hand Ruin (110u)29.19%10.86%
EZ High-Tie Hold (1.0284%)4.95u2.57u
5-Run Trough (75u Cap)-33u-16u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

EZ High-Tie Vigorish (2.38u) & 17.11% Tie Push Audit (S361)

Head-to-head matrix S361-3 subjects Labouchere ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) and Oscar's Grind (hold on loss / +1 on win) to 152 hands of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) with 110 units and a 75-unit roof, verifies 4.95u versus 2.57u in mathematical house hold and 29.19% versus 10.86% ruin.

Combinatorial stress ledger S361-4 benchmarks Labouchere Split-Line versus Oscar's Grind 1-Unit Cycle across 152 coups (110u bankroll, 75u max bet), demonstrating that 1.0284% house edge and 5-hand runs enforce 29.19% vs 10.86% ruin along the capital-bounded survival-window.

  • Trial S361: set a 110u stop before running Labouchere vs Oscar's Grind over 152 hands.
  • Scenario S361 documents 2.38u in commission drag and 26 tie pushes (17.11% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S361: derived road red marks bankroll-constrained column repetition and blue marks a structural break (distribution), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from Oscar's Grind to Labouchere during Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push neutralizes the 1.0284% house edge.
TruthOver 152 hands on a 110-unit stack, Labouchere carries 4.95u expected loss (29.19% ruin) vs 2.57u (10.86% ruin) for Oscar's Grind.
MythDuring a 5-hand high-tie sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android