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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · LABOUCHERE · 300U / 3-SHOE

Labouchere Split-Line — 300-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

Case M347-0 calibrates the multi-coup Labouchere Split-Line ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 11.69% ruin rate while dissects an average stake footprint of 3.48x and 10.58u ($529) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
11.69%
Target Hit (+75u Cap)
42.80%
216-Hand Expected Hold
10.58u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
60u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M347 (Labouchere Split-Line, 300u bankroll, 216 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 1, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
300u / 3 Shoes (216 Hands)

Matrix cell M347 tests Labouchere Split-Line with a $50 base unit and -150u/+75u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
11.69%

Probability of hitting the -150u drawdown barrier before completing 216 hands or reaching +75u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
42.80%

Share of 216-hand trajectories reaching the +75u session ceiling, with 45.51% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (60u Cap)

A 60-unit house limit and 300-unit stack cap Labouchere escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
10.58u ($529)

Derived from 752u total action (3.48x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M347 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Labouchere 300u house-edge-anchored absorption-curve Across 216 Hands (M347)

In finite-shoe benchmark M347-1, running Labouchere across 216 deals with 300 units and a 60-unit maximum wager dissects 752u of total handle, 10.58u in commission-weighted drift, and a 11.69% probability of exhausting the 150-unit drawdown buffer.

Case M347-2 evaluates the session-bounded Labouchere Split-Line ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 11.69% ruin rate while computes an average stake cadence of 3.48x and 10.58u ($529) in theoretical house-edge toll.

M347 ParameterLabouchere (300u)3-Shoe absorption-curve
Labouchere Ladder[1-2-3-2-1] outside sum (9 steps)Peak 18u multiplier on M347
300u Stack Window216 hands (3 shoes)Barriers -150u / +75u
60u Ceiling & Ruin11.69% ruin vs 42.80% winDepth 6 steps (5 cap hits)
752u Handle & Hold10.58u ($529)Multiplier 3.48x (house-edge-anchored drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

60u Ceiling Collisions & Labouchere Turnover (3 Shoes)

In variance-scaled benchmark M347-3, running Labouchere across 216 deals with 300 units and a 60-unit maximum wager audits 752u of total handle, 10.58u in commission-weighted drift, and a 11.69% probability of exhausting the 150-unit drawdown buffer.

Case M347-4 tracks the step-indexed Labouchere Split-Line ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 11.69% ruin rate while evaluates an average stake escalation of 3.48x and 10.58u ($529) in theoretical house-edge toll.

  • Cell M347 rule: lock the -150u stop on your 300u Labouchere stack across 216 hands.
  • Matrix M347 models 10.58u ($529) in house hold over 752u of Labouchere action.
  • Scoreboard check M347: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (house-edge-anchored absorption-curve) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 300 units to a 3-shoe session lets Labouchere Split-Line overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 216 hands, Labouchere generates 752u in action, 10.58u in expected loss, and a 11.69% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Labouchere bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 216-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android