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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · LABOUCHERE · 300U / 1-SHOE

Labouchere Split-Line — 300-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix

For a 300-unit roll spanning 72 hands (1 shoes), Labouchere Split-Line ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) audits a session-bounded cycle-span under matrix M346-0, where the 40-unit table roof and -150u/+75u barriers yield 3.77% ruin versus 44.61% upside completion. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.

Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
3.77%
Target Hit (+75u Cap)
44.61%
72-Hand Expected Hold
3.53u
Table Max (6-Step Depth)
40u
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P P P B B B B P B P B
Big Eye Boy = = = ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Matrix Cell M346 (Labouchere Split-Line, 300u bankroll, 72 hands). Big Road and Bead Plate show Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads record structural symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 3. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Session Bankroll & Horizon
300u / 1 Shoes (72 Hands)

Matrix cell M346 tests Labouchere Split-Line with a $25 base unit and -150u/+75u absorbing boundaries.

Stop-Loss Ruin Probability
3.77%

Probability of hitting the -150u drawdown barrier before completing 72 hands or reaching +75u.

Stop-Win Target Completion
44.61%

Share of 72-hand trajectories reaching the +75u session ceiling, with 51.62% ending between barriers.

Table Limit Survival Depth
6 Steps (40u Cap)

A 40-unit house limit and 300-unit stack cap Labouchere escalation after 6 adverse coups.

Expected Session House Hold
3.53u ($88)

Derived from 251u total action (3.48x average wager) multiplied by the 1.0579% 8-deck Banker edge.

MATRIX CELL M346 · STOP-LOSS & STOP-WIN GEOMETRY

Labouchere 300u absorbing-barrier footprint Across 72 Hands (M346)

Combinatorial ledger M346-1 tracks Labouchere ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) at 300 units and 72 hands (1 shoes), proving that a 40-unit table ceiling and 3.48x average bet multiplier yield 3.77% ruin probability and 3.53u in theoretical house hold.

For a 300-unit roll spanning 72 hands (1 shoes), Labouchere Split-Line ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) measures a step-indexed capital-runway under matrix M346-2, where the 40-unit table roof and -150u/+75u barriers yield 3.77% ruin versus 44.61% upside completion.

M346 ParameterLabouchere (300u)1-Shoe footprint
Labouchere Ladder[1-2-3-2-1] outside sum (9 steps)Peak 18u multiplier on M346
300u Stack Window72 hands (1 shoes)Barriers -150u / +75u
40u Ceiling & Ruin3.77% ruin vs 44.61% winDepth 6 steps (2 cap hits)
251u Handle & Hold3.53u ($88)Multiplier 3.48x (absorbing-barrier drift)
STEP ESCALATION & TURNOVER AUDIT

40u Ceiling Collisions & Labouchere Turnover (1 Shoes)

Combinatorial ledger M346-3 maps Labouchere ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) at 300 units and 72 hands (1 shoes), proving that a 40-unit table ceiling and 3.48x average bet multiplier yield 3.77% ruin probability and 3.53u in theoretical house hold.

For a 300-unit roll spanning 72 hands (1 shoes), Labouchere Split-Line ([1-2-3-2-1] outside sum) documents a absorbing-barrier absorption-curve under matrix M346-4, where the 40-unit table roof and -150u/+75u barriers yield 3.77% ruin versus 44.61% upside completion.

  • Cell M346 rule: lock the -150u stop on your 300u Labouchere stack across 72 hands.
  • Matrix M346 profiles 3.53u ($88) in house hold over 251u of Labouchere action.
  • Scoreboard check M346: Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig use red for repeating symmetry (absorbing-barrier footprint) and blue for pattern breaks—never for Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythBringing 300 units to a 1-shoe session lets Labouchere Split-Line overcome the 1.058% Banker house edge.
TruthNo bankroll size alters per-hand expectation: over 72 hands, Labouchere generates 251u in action, 3.53u in expected loss, and a 3.77% stop-loss ruin rate.
MythDerived road colors on the scoreboard tell Labouchere bettors whether Banker (red) or Player (blue) is due during a 72-hand run.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, red indicates repeating column structure and blue indicates breaking structure; neither color represents Banker or Player.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android