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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · HK 6-STEP VS MACAU 3-STEP
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise vs. Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet — Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers (216-Hand Stress Test)
In head-to-head trial S377-0 across 216 deals (Player 1:1 Streak, 1.2351% edge), HK 6-Step records a -50u peak trajectory and 30.20% ruin probability on a 140-unit stack, whereas Macau 3-Step logs a -23u trough and 12.86% ruin under the 90-unit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- HK 6-Step Ruin Rate
- 30.20%
- Macau 3-Step Ruin Rate
- 12.86%
- Peak Trough (8-Run)
- -50u
- Player 1:1 Streak House Edge
- 1.2351%