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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · HK 6-STEP VS MACAU 3-STEP
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise vs. Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
In absorbing-barrier comparative trial S380-0, running HK 6-Step against Macau 3-Step for 288 hands of 4-Shoe Streak (streak) on 180 units charts 18.21u vs 7.07u in expected toll and 29.51% vs 14.00% ruin under a 100-unit pit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- HK 6-Step Ruin Rate
- 29.51%
- Macau 3-Step Ruin Rate
- 14.00%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -72u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%