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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · HK 6-STEP VS MACAU 3-STEP
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise vs. Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet — Three-Shoe 15% Tie Density on Even-Money Player Wagers (210-Hand Stress Test)
Head-to-head matrix S378-0 subjects HK 6-Step (1-3-7-15-31-63) and Macau 3-Step (1-3-7 cap) to 210 hands of Player High-Tie (high-tie) with 130 units and a 85-unit roof, benchmarks 11.25u versus 4.37u in mathematical house hold and 40.97% versus 13.66% ruin. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- HK 6-Step Ruin Rate
- 40.97%
- Macau 3-Step Ruin Rate
- 13.66%
- Peak Trough (4-Run)
- -31u
- Player High-Tie House Edge
- 1.2351%