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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · HK 6-STEP VS MACAU 3-STEP
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise vs. Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet — 16% High-Tie Cluster Shoe under 5% Banker Commission (78-Hand Stress Test)
Pairing a 75-unit bankroll against 78 hands of 5% Comm High-Tie (1.0579% edge) in cell S369-0 evaluates HK 6-Step at 27.10% ruin and -34u peak capital-runway, whereas Macau 3-Step records 8.66% ruin and -17u below the 50-unit ceiling. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under 5% Banker Commission (0.95:1) (1.0579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- HK 6-Step Ruin Rate
- 27.10%
- Macau 3-Step Ruin Rate
- 8.66%
- Peak Trough (4-Run)
- -34u
- 5% Comm High-Tie House Edge
- 1.0579%