In head-to-head trial S370-0 across 70 deals (No-Comm Chop, 1.4579% edge), HK 6-Step records a -26u peak boundary and 23.09% ruin probability on a 65-unit stack, whereas Macau 3-Step logs a -15u trough and 9.19% ruin under the 50-unit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S370 (HK 6-Step vs Macau 3-Step, Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S370 compares 1-3-7-15-31-63 against 1-3-7 cap over 70 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 65-unit bankroll under a 50-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 70 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 2-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.
Reflects 9.55% tie frequency (7 pushes) and 2.75u in vigorish friction.
Within step-indexed testbed S370-1, a 65-unit bankroll facing 70 coups of No-Comm Chop (chop) and a 50-unit maximum wager computes 23.09% ruin (4.43u expected loss) on Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise versus 9.19% ruin (1.72u expected loss) on Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet.
In head-to-head trial S370-2 across 70 deals (No-Comm Chop, 1.4579% edge), HK 6-Step records a -26u peak dispersion and 23.09% ruin probability on a 65-unit stack, whereas Macau 3-Step logs a -15u trough and 9.19% ruin under the 50-unit limit.
| S370 exposure | HK 6-Step | Macau 3-Step |
|---|---|---|
| HK 6-Step / Macau 3-Step Rule | 1-3-7-15-31-63 | 1-3-7 cap |
| 70-Hand Ruin (65u) | 23.09% | 9.19% |
| No-Comm Chop Hold (1.4579%) | 4.43u | 1.72u |
| 2-Run Trough (50u Cap) | -26u | -15u |
Within variance-scaled testbed S370-3, a 65-unit bankroll facing 70 coups of No-Comm Chop (chop) and a 50-unit maximum wager evaluates 23.09% ruin (4.43u expected loss) on Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise versus 9.19% ruin (1.72u expected loss) on Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet.
In head-to-head trial S370-4 across 70 deals (No-Comm Chop, 1.4579% edge), HK 6-Step records a -26u peak distribution and 23.09% ruin probability on a 65-unit stack, whereas Macau 3-Step logs a -15u trough and 9.19% ruin under the 50-unit limit.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
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Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
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Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.
Practical bankroll boundaries, stop-loss discipline, and 18+/21+ support resources.