Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Combinatorial Math & Odds Hub
  3. HK 6-Step vs Macau 3-Step (EZ Dragon Chop)
STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · HK 6-STEP VS MACAU 3-STEP

Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise vs. Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet — Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (144-Hand Stress Test)

In step-indexed comparative trial S373-0, running HK 6-Step against Macau 3-Step for 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) on 100 units profiles 6.42u vs 2.50u in expected toll and 28.35% vs 12.74% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.

HK 6-Step Ruin Rate
28.35%
Macau 3-Step Ruin Rate
12.74%
Peak Trough (3-Run)
-28u
EZ Dragon Chop House Edge
1.0284%
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 18 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P B B P P B B P B P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = = = = = ≠ =
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠

Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S373 (HK 6-Step vs Macau 3-Step, Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #2

Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #2

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #2

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

Matchup & Shoe Profile
HK 6-Step vs Macau 3-Step (EZ Dragon Chop)

Stress cell S373 compares 1-3-7-15-31-63 against 1-3-7 cap over 144 hands.

Head-to-Head Ruin Rate
28.35% vs 12.74%

Probability of exhausting the 100-unit bankroll under a 75-unit house bet limit.

Expected Session Hold
6.42u vs 2.50u

Theoretical erosion under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% house edge) across 144 coups.

Peak Drawdown Excursion
-28u vs -15u

Deepest unit trough triggered by a 3-hand run inside the chop shoe profile.

Tie Stalls & Commission Toll
14 Ties · 3.08u Drag

Reflects 9.72% tie frequency (14 pushes) and 3.08u in vigorish friction.

STRESS CELL S373 · CHOP SHOE PROFILE

HK 6-Step vs. Macau 3-Step sequential ledger (144 Hands · S373)

Under EZ Dragon Chop (1.0284% effective edge), non-stationary stress run S373-1 over 144 hands and a 100-unit treasury verifies a -28u drawdown (28.35% ruin) for Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise against -15u (12.74% ruin) for Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet inside a 75-unit cap.

In variance-scaled comparative trial S373-2, running HK 6-Step against Macau 3-Step for 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) on 100 units benchmarks 6.42u vs 2.50u in expected toll and 28.35% vs 12.74% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit.

S373 ledgerHK 6-StepMacau 3-Step
HK 6-Step / Macau 3-Step Rule1-3-7-15-31-631-3-7 cap
144-Hand Ruin (100u)28.35%12.74%
EZ Dragon Chop Hold (1.0284%)6.42u2.50u
3-Run Trough (75u Cap)-28u-15u
VIGORISH & TABLE CEILING INTERACTION

EZ Dragon Chop Vigorish (3.08u) & 9.72% Tie Push Audit (S373)

Under EZ Dragon Chop (1.0284% effective edge), combinatorial stress run S373-3 over 144 hands and a 100-unit treasury tracks a -28u drawdown (28.35% ruin) for Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise against -15u (12.74% ruin) for Macau 3-Step VIP Bullet inside a 75-unit cap.

In session-bounded comparative trial S373-4, running HK 6-Step against Macau 3-Step for 144 hands of EZ Dragon Chop (chop) on 100 units calibrates 6.42u vs 2.50u in expected toll and 28.35% vs 12.74% ruin under a 75-unit pit limit.

  • Trial S373: set a 100u stop before running HK 6-Step vs Macau 3-Step over 144 hands.
  • Scenario S373 quantifies 3.08u in commission drag and 14 tie pushes (9.72% Tie rate).
  • Board rule S373: derived road red marks sequential column repetition and blue marks a structural break (ledger), never Banker or Player.
Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythSwitching from Macau 3-Step to HK 6-Step during Two-Shoe Doublet Chop under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push neutralizes the 1.0284% house edge.
TruthOver 144 hands on a 100-unit stack, HK 6-Step carries 6.42u expected loss (28.35% ruin) vs 2.50u (12.74% ruin) for Macau 3-Step.
MythDuring a 3-hand chop sequence, red marks on Big Eye Boy or Small Road indicate Banker is favored next.
TruthDerived road colors never represent Banker or Player: red denotes repeatingBig Road structure and blue denotes breaking structure.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android