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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · HK 6-STEP · 40U / 1-SHOE
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise — 40-Unit Bankroll & 1-Shoe (72-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Under finite-shoe boundary rules in M431-0, pairing Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise with 40 units across 1 shoes (72 hands) and a 40-unit maximum models a 35.44% stop-loss absorption rate, surviving at most 6 adverse steps before step-indexed stake-velocity truncation. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-20u Stop)
- 35.44%
- Target Hit (+10u Cap)
- 35.74%
- 72-Hand Expected Hold
- 2.15u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 40u