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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · HK 6-STEP · 300U / 3-SHOE
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise — 300-Unit Bankroll & 3-Shoe (216-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M447-0 verifies the bankroll-constrained Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise (1-3-7-15-31-63) across a 300-unit bankroll and a 216-hand (3-shoe) window, where a 60-unit table ceiling and 150-unit stop-loss produce a 15.14% ruin rate while charts an average stake boundary of 4.51x and 15.15u ($758) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-150u Stop)
- 15.14%
- Target Hit (+75u Cap)
- 41.84%
- 216-Hand Expected Hold
- 15.15u
- Table Max (6-Step Depth)
- 60u