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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · HK 6-STEP · 100U / 5-SHOE
Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise — 100-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Case M440-0 profiles the session-bounded Hong Kong 6-Step Cruise (1-3-7-15-31-63) across a 100-unit bankroll and a 360-hand (5-shoe) window, where a 80-unit table ceiling and 50-unit stop-loss produce a 71.25% ruin rate while quantifies an average stake dispersion of 3.29x and 18.41u ($921) in theoretical house-edge toll. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-50u Stop)
- 71.25%
- Target Hit (+25u Cap)
- 27.36%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 18.41u
- Table Max (7-Step Depth)
- 80u