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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · GRAND MARTINGALE VS 1-3-2-6
Grand Martingale (2x+1) vs. 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — Three-Shoe Adverse 8-Run on Even-Money Player Wagers (216-Hand Stress Test)
When Player 1:1 Streak (streak) injects a 8-hand extreme run and 20 tie pushes (9.26% Tie density) over 216 coups, stochastic audit S335-0 profiles Grand Martingale (2x+1) at 17.26u expected erosion (62.46% ruin) compared with 4.11u (11.81% ruin) for 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence on 140 units. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under Even-Money Player Side (1.235% edge) (1.2351% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Grand Martingale Ruin Rate
- 62.46%
- 1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
- 11.81%
- Peak Trough (8-Run)
- -62u
- Player 1:1 Streak House Edge
- 1.2351%