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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · GRAND MARTINGALE VS 1-3-2-6
Grand Martingale (2x+1) vs. 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — Two-Shoe High-Tie Stall under EZ Baccarat Dragon 7 Push (152-Hand Stress Test)
Within commission-adjusted testbed S333-0, a 110-unit bankroll facing 152 coups of EZ High-Tie (high-tie) and a 75-unit maximum wager models 45.50% ruin (10.11u expected loss) on Grand Martingale (2x+1) versus 10.19% ruin (2.41u expected loss) on 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under EZ Baccarat 3-Card 7 Push (1.028% edge) (1.0284% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Grand Martingale Ruin Rate
- 45.50%
- 1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
- 10.19%
- Peak Trough (5-Run)
- -47u
- EZ High-Tie House Edge
- 1.0284%