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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · GRAND MARTINGALE VS 1-3-2-6
Grand Martingale (2x+1) vs. 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence — Ping-Pong Chop Shoe under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay (70-Hand Stress Test)
When No-Comm Chop (chop) injects a 2-hand extreme run and 7 tie pushes (9.55% Tie density) over 70 coups, table-capped audit S328-0 calibrates Grand Martingale (2x+1) at 6.60u expected erosion (27.68% ruin) compared with 1.57u (8.45% ruin) for 1-3-2-6 Four-Stage Sequence on 65 units. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Grand Martingale Ruin Rate
- 27.68%
- 1-3-2-6 Ruin Rate
- 8.45%
- Peak Trough (2-Run)
- -29u
- No-Comm Chop House Edge
- 1.4579%