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STAGE 2 BANKROLL MATRIX · GRAND MARTINGALE · 500U / 5-SHOE
Grand Martingale (2x+1) — 500-Unit Bankroll & 5-Shoe (360-Hand) Risk-of-Ruin Matrix
Within drawdown-weighted horizon M150-0, a 500-unit treasury backing Grand Martingale (2x+1) for 360 hands (5 shoes) faces a 80-unit bet cap that dissects 18.31% ruin exposure, 42.18% target attainment at +125u, and 39.51% time-limit expiration. Every 8-deck hand remains statistically independent (45.86% Banker, 44.62% Player, 9.52% Tie), meaning progression sizing reshapes session variance without altering the house edge.
- Ruin Rate (-250u Stop)
- 18.31%
- Target Hit (+125u Cap)
- 42.18%
- 360-Hand Expected Hold
- 39.22u
- Table Max (7-Step Depth)
- 80u