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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · REV LABOUCHERE VS FLAT BETTING
Reverse Labouchere Line vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
When 4-Shoe Streak (streak) injects a 12-hand extreme run and 26 tie pushes (9.03% Tie density) over 288 coups, absorbing-barrier audit S254-0 documents Reverse Labouchere Line at 9.44u expected erosion (18.91% ruin) compared with 4.37u (9.17% ruin) for Flat 1-Unit Baseline on 180 units. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Rev Labouchere Ruin Rate
- 18.91%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -51u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%