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STAGE 2 STRESS TEST · REV FIBONACCI VS FLAT BETTING
Reverse Fibonacci Press vs. Flat 1-Unit Baseline — Four-Shoe 12-Run Volatility under No-Commission Banker 6 (288-Hand Stress Test)
Within absorbing-barrier testbed S198-0, a 180-unit bankroll facing 288 coups of 4-Shoe Streak (streak) and a 100-unit maximum wager inspects 19.24% ruin (8.38u expected loss) on Reverse Fibonacci Press versus 9.17% ruin (4.37u expected loss) on Flat 1-Unit Baseline. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
- Rev Fibonacci Ruin Rate
- 19.24%
- Flat Betting Ruin Rate
- 9.17%
- Peak Trough (12-Run)
- -46u
- 4-Shoe Streak House Edge
- 1.4579%