Stress test S189-0 measures Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 10.87% vs 4.92% ruin rates and audits 1.33u in sequential vigorish drag. Because every 8-deck coup is statistically independent under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% edge), progression rules alter drawdown speed and table-cap collisions without changing per-hand expectation.
Reference 8-deck shoe for Stress Cell S189 (Rev Fibonacci vs Flat Betting, 11-Hand Banker Run under No-Commission Banker 6 Half-Pay). Big Road shows Banker (red) and Player (blue); derived roads track symmetry.
Column 2 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 3 has 2 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Stress cell S189 compares 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 against 1-1-1-1 constant unit over 74 hands.
Probability of exhausting the 90-unit bankroll under a 65-unit house bet limit.
Theoretical erosion under No-Commission Banker 6 (0.50:1 on 6) (1.4579% house edge) across 74 coups.
Deepest unit trough triggered by a 11-hand run inside the streak shoe profile.
Reflects 8.11% tie frequency (6 pushes) and 1.33u in vigorish friction.
Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Flat Betting in scenario S189-1 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) dissects how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape bankroll-constrained absorption-curve, yielding 10.87% vs 4.92% ruin.
Stress test S189-2 quantifies Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 10.87% vs 4.92% ruin rates and measures 1.33u in stochastic vigorish drag.
| S189 capital-runway | Rev Fibonacci | Flat Betting |
|---|---|---|
| Rev Fibonacci / Flat Betting Rule | 1-1-2-3-5-8-13 | 1-1-1-1 constant unit |
| 74-Hand Ruin (90u) | 10.87% | 4.92% |
| No-Comm Streak Hold (1.4579%) | 2.15u | 1.12u |
| 11-Run Trough (65u Cap) | -46u | -23u |
Evaluating Rev Fibonacci vs Flat Betting in scenario S189-3 (74 hands, 90u stack, 65u table limit) computes how 6 tie stalls (8.11%) and a 11-coup run shape absorbing-barrier stake-velocity, yielding 10.87% vs 4.92% ruin.
Stress test S189-4 maps Reverse Fibonacci Press (1-1-2-3-5-8-13) against Flat 1-Unit Baseline (1-1-1-1 constant unit) inside a 90-unit bankroll over 74 hands (No-Comm Streak, streak), where a 65-unit table ceiling produces 10.87% vs 4.92% ruin rates and documents 1.33u in house-edge-anchored vigorish drag.
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Verify 8-deck combinatorial probabilities, Banker/Player house edge, and commission rules.
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Definitions for progression ladders, absorbing barriers, commission formats, and shoe terms.
Plain-English answers on independent trials, progression variance, and scoreboard reading.